2024 年 1 月 15 日,日經指數漲至 35,901 點,再創 34 年新高,筆者於2023 年已看好日本股市,前文已列出看好的原因。
2024 年 1 月 1 日,本州石川縣能登半島發生多次地震,最強一次達 7.6 級,日股復市後稍為調整,唯地震事件並未改變日股上漲的大趨勢。1 月 9日,日經指數升至 33,763 (+1.16%),創 1990 年 3 月泡沫經濟時代以來新高。1 月 11 日,日經指數再創新高,收 35,049 (+1.8%)。
東京證券交易所的市值升至 917 萬億日圓 (約 6.32 萬億美元),超越上海交易所的 6.27 萬億美元市值,躍居亞洲第一。
1 月元旦地震後,日股開始勢如破竹,除了原有的利好因素外,主因近期推出一系列利好投資者的措施,包括由 2024 年開始,擴大個人儲蓄賬戶的每年免稅投資額度兩倍至 360 萬日圓、持倉上限提升逾倍至 1,800 萬日圓、取消股息稅及資本利得稅等。
除了日本當地投資者踴躍入市外,内地資金亦轉投日本股市。於 1 月 11 日,在上海交易的華夏野村日經 225 ETF,成交額高達 3.88 億元人民幣,超過2023 年日均成交量的 10 倍。
日股不但吸引股神巴菲特和海外大戶,現在更多了日本和内地資金加入,香港投資者有興趣可留意在港交所掛牌的日股 ETF (#3160)。
(風險提示:以上觀點僅為個人看法,不代表所在機構的官方立場與預測,亦並非任何投資建議,本文目的只為傳遞資訊。本人不保證文中全部或部分內容、文字的真實性、完整性或及時性,本人或客戶持有上述股票。
版權聲明:本文已註明資料及圖片的來源及出處,若涉及版權問題,請通過電郵聯繫本人。)


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日經指數突破34年新高、東京證交所市值超越上海躍居亞洲第一,加上NISA免稅額度擴大與取消股息稅等政策,確實為日本股市帶來資金動能。文中提到內地資金透過日經225 ETF大幅流入,也值得留意。
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東京證券交易所市值超越上海交易所躍居亞洲第一,這個變化值得留意。文中提到擴大個人儲蓄賬戶免稅額度、取消股息稅及資本利得稅等措施,確實可能吸引當地投資者入市,而內地資金透過日經225 ETF 的成交額大增也反映出資金流向的轉變。不過地震後日股仍持續走高,這種韌性是否可持續,還需觀察後續政策效果與企業盈利表現。
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