2024 年 1 月 12 日上市的新股經緯天地 (#2477) 的升勢非常厲害,三日便飆升至最高 4.26 元,較上市價 1 元高出 3.26 倍。經緯天地只是內地一間普通的電訊技術集成服務商,為什麽升幅如此驚人?
(1) 大戶 B 組入票
經緯天地的公開發售超額認購 27.64 倍,公開發售的比例由 10% 增加至20%,即 25,000,000 股。而國際配售部份的認購額只有 0.97 倍,最終佔整體發售股份 80%,即 100,000,000 股。公開發售部份佔 20%,某程度上是破壊了貨源歸邊,不利股價上升。不過,很多大戶都會同時在國際配售和公開發售的 B 組入票,增加手上的貨源。
經緯天地的公開發售 B 組部份共有 21 張大票,其中一張是頂頭票。換句話說,表面上以散戶為主的公開發售部份佔 20%,但實際上散戶只集中在 A 組部份,貨源並沒有想像中分散。
(2) 向關連客戶配股
今次國際配售的 100,000,000 股中,有 10,600,000 股是配售予 Coast Flagship Investment SPC (「SPC」),而 SPC 與貝塔國際證券有一名共同的控股股東。貝塔是聯席全球協調人、聯席賬簿管理人和聯席牽頭經辦人之一。承銷商的控股股東親自掏錢參與配售,有利控制貨源。
(3) 股價走勢
經緯天地首日上市高開 1.77 元,升 77%,上午保持升勢,維持在 2.1 元水平。根據經驗,中午後多數走弱,因為券商會陸逐收到配售的股份。不過,經緯天地下午的沽壓並不明顯,就算升幅超過一倍亦未見重大壓力,最終還以接近全日高位 2.64 元收市,證明大戶不急於首日出貨。
(4) CCASS 持倉

想知道新股的貨源是否歸邊,可以查看中央結算系統 (CCASS) 的持股紀錄。經緯天地的總股數為 500,000,000 股,控股股東佔 75%,即持有375,000,000 股,並沒有放進中央結算系統。IPO 發行 125,000,000 股,即佔總股數 25%,全數進入中央結算系統。
首日,華德國際證券持倉最大,有 35,600,000 股,佔 7.12%;第二是富途證券,持 16,704,000 股,佔 3.34%;第三大是華業證券,持 14,108,000 股,佔2.82%;結好證券第四,持 13,600,000 股,佔 2.82%;第五是聖衡金融,持 10,920,000 股,佔 2.18%。
截至 1 月 19 日最新 CCASS 持倉顯示,上述頭五大持倉幾乎沒大變動,結好證券還多了大約 1,112,000 股,升至第三大。只有以散戶為主的輝立証券持股量大降了 3,464,000 股,這可以推斷貨源進一步從散戶轉至大戶手中,難怪上市一周股價仍能企穩 3.5 元的高水平。
(風險提示:以上觀點僅為個人看法,目的只為傳遞資訊,並非任何投資建議。本人不保證文中全部或部分內容、文字的真實性、完整性或及時性,本人或客戶未持有上述股票。
版權聲明:本文已註明資料及圖片的來源及出處,若涉及版權問題,請通過電郵聯繫本人。)


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